Retirement Shortfall Calculator & Income Gap Estimator

Quantify your future income needs. Our deterministic model identifies the "Gap" between your projected fixed income and the lifestyle you intend to lead in retirement.

AdSense/YMYL Compliance Notice: This tool is an educational estimation engine for income replacement modeling. It is not an investment platform, retirement advisor, or actuarial service. It does not account for future tax law changes, healthcare inflation, or market volatility.

Retirement Timeline & Spending

Include rent/mortgage, taxes, and living costs.

Average is 70-85% for lifestyle parity.

Estimated Fixed Income

Based on your government benefit estimate.

The Income Replacement Model

Retirement planning is an exercise in Annual Cash Flow Requirement. You must determine how much money you need to spend every year once you stop working, and exactly where that money will come from.

Most individuals have multiple "layers" of income. The first layer consists of fixed sources like Social Security or Pensions. The Shortfall is the remaining amount that must be supplied by your assets.

Replacement Ratio Targets

Most financial models suggest you will need between 70% and 85% of your pre-retirement income. This is because you no longer pay FICA taxes, and your work-related commuting and savings costs disappear.

Lifestyle TierRatio TargetSpend Focus
Essential/Lean65% - 70%Lower taxes, paid-off home.
Active/Global85% - 100%High travel and healthcare.
Hybrid/Part-Time50% - 60%Bridge income reduces the gap.

Calculating Your Capital Target

Once you identify your Annual Shortfall (e.g., $30,000), you can estimate the total capital required using the "Rule of 25."

Annual Shortfall x 25 = Your Wealth Target

This assumes a 4% withdrawal rate. If your gap is $30,000, your target is $750,000. This provides a high probability of your assets lasting 30 years.

Shortfall FAQ

Should I include my kids' college costs?
No. Retirement planning should focus on sustenance. Treat education as a one-time Savings Goal to avoid artificially inflating your annual income requirement.
Is the 'Shortfall' taxable?
Typically, yes. If your shortfall is covered by a 401(k), you will need to withdraw more than the target to cover taxes. We recommend a 15-20% buffer for tax friction.